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?»?Ranking the NFL's worst-to-first candidates in 2020: Lions' year?!
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Parity. What a beautiful word! It's the lifeblood of this league.
One of the main reasons why the NFL is king of today's American sports spectrum is the simple fact that every team has a chance. With the competitive balance driven by the salary cap, among other factors, your squad enters every new year with the opportunity to make the playoffs. Don't believe me? Consider this nugget: Since divisional realignment in 2002, we've only experienced two seasons in which at least one team didn't go from worst to first (2014 and '19). It's a routine occurrence. With the right management, coaching staff and quarterback -- as well as some breaks here and there -- every bottom-dweller can rise. The challenge is identifying which bottom-dweller will rise.
So, which team is most likely to go from worst to first in 2020? Let's rank the eight candidates!
The NFC North is the most flawed division in football. Thus, all four teams can win it. Yes, even the Lions, who haven't won a division title since back in 1993, when they were playing in the NFC Central .
I still give Green Bay the edge over the rest of the field, but the Packers' counterproductive and inexplicable offseason gives them a 10-win ceiling. While Green Bay did play in the NFC title game just five months ago, I don't think the Pack are on the level of NFC adversaries in San Francisco, Tampa Bay, New Orleans, Dallas or Philadelphia. Heck, right now, the Cardinals, Seahawks, Falcons and Rams look better, too. But someone has to win the North. Minnesota is trying to win while retooling -- and now Dalvin Cook's apparently pondering a holdout. I see the Vikings winning eight or nine games. The Bears have a great defense . and the least inspiring quarterback room in the league. Smells like 8-8.
Which leads me back to Detroit. I'm saying there's a chance. A real one.
Matthew Stafford is a star, as he displayed in Darrell Bevell's offense last year. Stafford's 2019 campaign, of course, was limited to eight games by a back injury, but in that half-season, he stacked up some sparkling figures: 19:5 TD-to-INT ratio, 312.5 passing yards per game, 106.0 passer rating. Now it's Year 2 in Bevell's attack -- no more learning curve! As I wrote last month, I can see the 32-year-old signal-caller leading the league in passing yards. Especially with Detroit's receiving corps, which I love. Kenny Golladay broke out last season, snagging a league-high 11 touchdown catches and a Pro Bowl bid. Marvin Jones is a perfect No. 2, while Danny Amendola is a strong No. 3 in the slot. And I remain a big believer in tight end T.J. Hockenson. With better health and an NFL season under his belt, the 2019 first-rounder can become a stud. Meanwhile, in the 2020 NFL Draft, GM Bob Quinn stole D'Andre Swift in Round 2. I expect him to be in the mix for Offensive Rookie of the Year. Matt Patricia's defense is beefed up, even after Darius Slay's departure via trade. I will never believe Jeff Okudah was the third-best player in this year's draft class, but I believe in him as a legit NFL corner. Danny Shelton, Jaimie Collins and Desmond Trufant were strong veteran pickups addressing needs on all three levels.
And check the schedule. Detroit can start 4-4. And then they play Washington and Carolina before hosting Houston on Thanksgiving. Thus, the Lions could hit December sitting pretty at 7-4.
As I alluded to above with my unenthusiastic Packers endorsement, I'm not ready to pull the trigger on Detroit winning its first NFC North title just yet. But it is very, very realistic. And you Lions fans need to start embracing it.

NFL Super Wild Card Weekend: Browns, Bills head winners; Frank Reich, Mike Vrabel among losers.
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The NFL's first ever Super Wild Card Weekend was true to its name: super and wild. What a satisfying two-day football feast!
Of course, every postseason triumph is accompanied by devastation. That's the cruel beauty of the win-or-go-home format. So, with that in mind .
Here are the winners and losers from the opening round of the NFL playoffs, Schein Nine style:
WINNERS.
1) Cleveland Browns.
Congrats, Cleveland! First playoff win in 26 years!! And the fact that the 48-37 victory came against a hated rival that had stomped on the Browns for decades? Yeah, that made it extra sweet.
These Browns are legit. I anticipated they'd beat the Steelers because, well, they're better than the Steelers. But still, doing so without head coach/play-caller Kevin Stefanski, Pro Bowl left guard Joel Bitonio and starting cornerbacks Denzel Ward and Kevin Johnson is incredibly impressive. Honestly, it was shocking, as Cleveland jumped out to a 28-0 lead in the first quarter , before eventually staving off Pittsburgh's second-half push to get back in the game. What a testament to this team's mettle in an NFL season defined by adversity.
Baker Mayfield was superb in his first playoff game, completing 21 of 34 passes for 263 yards and three touchdowns. Jarvis Landry???»?—, who led Cleveland with 92 receiving yards and scored one of the Browns' four first-quarter touchdowns, is a foxhole wideout: You want him on your side in high-leverage situations. Meanwhile, the best running back duo in football (???»?—Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt???»?—) overpowered Pittsburgh to the tune of 206 total yards and three scores on 31 touches. And the Browns, a league laughingstock for decades, won the all-important turnover battle 5-0.
This glorious postseason success was long overdue, well-earned and freakin' awesome. Cleveland rocks!
2) Buffalo Bills.
One day before the Browns won their first playoff game since the 1994 season, the Bills earned their first postseason triumph since the '95 campaign. And it was all sorts of sensational for this fan base in lovely Western New York, as knowledgeable, passionate and loyal a bunch as you'll find in this league.
Bills Mafia has been waiting for a moment like this for decades. It didn't come easy, though, as the visiting Colts came to play. And then Indianapolis got a HUGE break late in the game, when referees inexplicably botched what clearly looked to these eyes like a fumble by Colts WR Zach Pascal???»?—. But Buffalo held on for a 27-24 victory. And winning that type of game -- in which the Bills didn't play their absolute best -- shows that this is a different type of Buffalo team, one that can absolutely win the Super Bowl.
Josh Allen is special. Not only did he just become the first quarterback to lead Buffalo to a playoff win since Jim Kelly, but according to NFL Research, he just joined Joe Montana as the only players with 300-plus passing yards, 50-plus rushing yards and a completion percentage of 68-plus in a playoff game during the Super Bowl era. Allen's connection with first-year Bill Stefon Diggs???»?—, who caught six balls for 128 yards and a touchdown, is something to behold. And Buffalo's defense, which hasn't always been a strength for the Bills this season, came up with some huge stops.
Over the summer, I said Allen would become an MVP candidate, the Bills would take the AFC East by multiple games and then win a home playoff game. Check, check, check. And honestly, it feels like this could really be just the beginning. Talking to Allen last week on my SiriusXM Radio show,

?»?NFL odds, picks, predictions for Week 1, 2020: Advanced computer model loving Bears, 49ers.
SportsLine's computer model simulated every Week 1 NFL game 10,000 times with surprising results.
NFL odds are on the move as kickoffs approach. In Atlanta, the Falcons are one-point favorites over the Seahawks in the latest NFL spreads from William Hill after opening as one-point underdogs. In Carolina, the visiting Raiders opened as 1.5-point favorites, but the line has since doubled to a field goal. Wide receiver Kenny Golladay (hamstring) is inactive for the Lions, who are still 2.5-point favorites over the NFC North rival Bears in the latest NFL betting lines, up a point from the opener.
On Sunday Night Football, the Cowboys vs. Rams line opened at Dallas -2.5, but betting on L.A. has reduced the spread to -2. All of the Week 1 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 1 NFL picks now.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up over $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five years ago.
It also enters the 2020 NFL season on an incredible 96-65 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has examined the latest Week 1 NFL odds and lines, simulated every snap, and its predictions are in. Head to SportsLine now to see them all.
Top NFL predictions for Week 1.
The Bears struggled offensively, but ranked fourth in the league in scoring defense in 2019 (18.6) in 2019. Chicago is also 5-2-1 against the spread in its last eight meetings against Detroit and on a 9-4 run against the spread versus NFC North foes. SportsLine's model says Chicago covers in over 50 percent of simulations, while the under (42) also brings plenty of value because that hits well over 60 percent of the time.
Another one of the Week 1 NFL picks from the model: The 49ers (-7) cover as home favorites against the Cardinals. Kyler Murray and the Cardinals look prepared to take a step forward in Year Two under Kliff Kingsbury, while the offseason addition of DeAndre Hopkins certainly adds to the allure. However, the 49ers' defense is simply too strong and San Francisco's rushing attack is a perfect compliment.
The 49ers ranked second in the NFL in total defense in 2019 and first against the pass. They allowed just 4.8 net yards per pass attempt thanks to the top defensive front in the league and an experienced and capable secondary led by Richard Sherman.
SportsLine's model predicts that Murray is sacked four times and the 49ers force two turnovers. San Francisco covers in well over 50 percent of simulations, while the under (48) also hits over half the time.
How to make Week 1 NFL picks.
The model also has a strong pick for Tom Brady's debut with the Buccaneers against the Saints, and is calling for a favored Super Bowl contender to go down hard in an upset this week. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.
What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 1? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds below and then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that is up over $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks.

Week 1 NFL picks, predictions.
NFL picks and predictions are difficult enough in Week 1 of a given season when we know so little about how offseason roster changes will manifest on the field. Now we're picking NFL games to open a season defined by changes amid the COVID-19 pandemic. Welcome to 2020.
Only two of the 16 games on the Week 1 NFL schedule will feature fans in the stands, as the Chiefs and Jaguars will allow a small percentage of their stadiums' capacities to be filled. So the typical home-field advantage attached to the odds for each game is not as much of a factor.
However, team travel for away games during the coronavirus pandemic is extra stressful, so the teams scheduled to make lengthy trips in Week 1 will be the first to deal with the NFL's extensive health and safety protocols for teams on the road.
Per tradition, the Week 1 NFL schedule begins with the defending Super Bowl champions ??” this year the Chiefs ??” hosting the Thursday night season-opener, and it ends with a

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